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Press Trust of India Jul 03, 2018 16:22:16 IST

New Delhi: The Indian rupee is expected to remain in the 68-72 range against the US dollar in the short term on rising external risks but the Reserve Bank may intervene to control the volatility, says an UBS report.

New Delhi:

According to the global financial services major, if external stress continues to rise and/or the US dollar strengthens, policymakers could consider raising American currency deposits as a last resort to stabilise the rupee.

However, towards year-end, "even as we believe there is depreciation pressure on the INR, it should be more than offset by a weak USD," the report by Tanvee Gupta Jain (Economist) and Rohit Arora (Strategist), UBS Securities India, said.

The UBS forex team expects a weaker USD despite US fiscal impulse and higher yields and retains its forecasts of USD/INR at 66 by end of this fiscal and 66.5 by end of the financial year 2019-20.

Representational image. PTI.

The tightening in global financial conditions and dollar strength has resulted in the rupee being amongst the worst-performing currencies against the US currency compared with peers and it has hit an all-time low recently.

Moreover, a slowdown in capital flows with FII (equity and debt) registering an outflow of $9 billion in the June 2018 quarter and tightening in domestic financial conditions will also impact the rupee, the report noted.

"We believe India is not immune, and if global financial conditions remain tight and/or global risk aversion rises from here, it will bear the brunt in the form of an adverse impact on growth and financial stability," the report said.

The rupee (USD/INR) has depreciated by 8 percent so far this year, making it one of the worst-performing currencies against the US dollar amongst its peers.

Considering the huge outflows seen in FII flows, UBS believes India remains vulnerable in its external position.

The rupee had breached the lifetime low and crossed the Rs 69 to a dollar level last week. However, it has gained in the last few trading sessions and opened at 68.96 on Tuesday.

Updated Date: Jul 03, 2018 16:22 PM

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What do you see as the major trends in your field of study?

This question is about evaluating your expertise. You might say you want to study venomous animals, but how fluent are you in that field? Before your interview, make sure you’re familiar with current or recent influential research, especially related to your own topic of study. Be able to speak on the content and findings, the implications of that research, and other relevant details. And don’t be afraid to share your own informed opinions on these topics!

Tell me about how you achieved a significant accomplishment.

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The other grad school interview questions so far have all focused on your area of study and what you could bring to the program in question. Here’s an opportunity to show them who you are outside academia! You not only get to show that you’re a well-rounded, passionate student with diverse interests. You could also show another side of your personality, values, and forge a memorable personal connection with your interviewers. And if you can do all that while still connecting those interests to the school community, all the better.

Where else have you applied?

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